{"id":19,"date":"2017-07-30T10:00:25","date_gmt":"2017-07-30T14:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/template\/?page_id=19"},"modified":"2026-03-19T08:33:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T12:33:42","slug":"publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/publications\/","title":{"rendered":"Publications"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n
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Publications<\/h1>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Link to Google Scholar Citations<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Link to Researchgate<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Book Chapter<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
  1. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Abba B. Gumel. Mathematical assessment of the role of vaccination against COVID-19 in the United States<\/a> \u201cMathematical Modeling, Simulations, and AI for Emergent Pandemic Diseases: Lessons Learned from COVID-19\u201d edited by Jorge X. Velasco Hernandez (2023).<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Peer-reviewed publications<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    1. Hemaho B. Taboe, Michael Asare-Baah, Enahoro A. Iboi, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong> Critical assessment of the impact of vaccine-type and immunity on the burden of COVID-19 Mathematical Biosciences<\/a> 360, 108981 (2023).<\/li>\n
    2. Morganne Igoe, Renato Casagrandi, Marino Gatto, Christopher M. Hoover, Lorenzo Mari, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Justin V. Remais, James N. Sanchirico, Susanne H. Sokolow, Suzanne Lenhart, Giulio de Leo Reframing optimal control problems for infectious disease management in low-income countries<\/a>. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 85 (4): 31 (2023).<\/li>\n
    3. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong> The impact of temperature and decay in insecticide-treated bed-net efficacy on malaria prevalence and control. Mathematical Biosciences<\/a> 355, 108936 (2023).<\/li>\n
    4. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Hemaho B. Taboe, Salman Safdar, Abba B. Gumel Unraveling the dynamics of the Omicron and Delta variants of the 2019 coronavirus in the presence of vaccination, mask usage, and antiviral treatment<\/a>. Applied Mathematical Modelling 114 447\u2013465 (2023).<\/li>\n
    5. Salman Safdar, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Abba B. Gumel Mathematical assessment of the role of waning and boosting immunity against the BA.1 Omicron variant in the United States<\/a>. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 20 (1) 179\u2013212 (2023).<\/li>\n
    6. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong> Assessing the impact of insecticide-treated nets in the face of insecticide resistance on malaria control<\/a>. Journal of Theoretical Biology 555 111281 (2022).<\/li>\n
    7. Hemaho B. Taboe, Michael Asare-Baah, Afsana Yesmin, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong> The impact of age structure and vaccination on COVID-19 in West Africa<\/a>. Infectious Disease Modelling, 7 (4) 709\u2013727 (2022)<\/li>\n
    8. Laxmi Bhati, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Samit Bhattacharyya An evolutionary game model of individual choices and bed net use: elucidating a key aspect in malaria control<\/a>. Royal Society Open Science 9 (11), 220685 (2022).<\/li>\n
    9. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, James R. Knitter, Lucas Marinacci, Matthew H. Bonds, Abba B. Gumel. Assessing the impact of widespread respirator use in curtailing COVID-19 transmission in the United States<\/a>. Journal of the Royal Society Open Science<\/em> 8 210699 (2021).<\/li>\n
    10. Maia Martcheva, Necibe Tuncer, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>. Effects of social-distancing on infectious disease dynamics: an evolutionary game theory and economic perspective<\/a>. Journal of Biological Dynamics 15 (1):342\u2013366 (2021).<\/li>\n
    11. Rado J L Rakotonanahary, Herinjaka Andriambolamanana, Benedicte Razafinjato, Estelle M Raza-Fanomezan- \u00a0Janahary, Vero Ramanandraitsiory, Fiainamirindra Ralaivavikoa, Andritiana Tsirinomen\u2019ny Aina, Lea Ra- hajatiana, Luc Rakotonirina, Justin Haruna, Laura F Cordier, Megan B Murray, Giovanna Cowley, De- metrice Jordan, Mark A Krasnow, Patricia C Wright, Thomas R Gillespie, Michael Docherty, Tara Loyd, Michelle Evans, John Drake, Calistus N Ngonghala<\/strong>, Michael Rich, Stephen Popper, Ann C Miller, Felana A Ihantamalala, Andriamihaja Randrianambinina, Bruno Ramiandrisoa, Emmanuel Rakotozafy, Albert Rasolo- fomanana, Manuela C Andriamahatana Vololoniaina, Benjamin Andriamihaja, Andres Garchitorena, Julio Rakotonirina, Alishya Mayfield, Karen E Finnegan and Matthew H Bonds. Integrating health systems and science to respond to COVID-19 in a model district of rural Madagascar<\/a>. Frontiers in Public Health<\/em> 9 847 (2021).<\/li>\n
    12. Abba B. Gumel, Enahoro A. Iboi, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Gideon A. Ngwa. Towards achieving a vaccine-derived herd immunity threshold for COVID-19 in the U.S.<\/a> Frontiers in Public Healt<\/em>h 9 709369 (2021).<\/li>\n
    13. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Sadie J. Ryan, Blanka Tesla, Leah R. Demakovsky, Erin A. Mordecai, Courtney C. Murdock, Matthew H. Bonds. Effects of temperature on Zika dynamics and control<\/a>. Journal of Royal Society Interface<\/em> 18 (178) 20210165 (2021).<\/li>\n
    14. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Palak Goel, Daniel Kutor, Samit Bhattacharyya. Human choice to self-isolate in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic: a game dynamic modeling approach<\/a>. Journal of Theoretical Biology<\/em> 521, 110692 (2021).<\/li>\n
    15. Sadie J. Ryan, Colin J. Carlson, Blanka Tesla, Matthew H. Bonds, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Erin A. Mordecai, Leah R. Johnson, Courtney C. Murdock. Climate change could expose 1.3 billion new people to Zika virus risk by 2050<\/a>. Global Change Biology<\/em> 27 (1) 84\u201393 (2021).<\/li>\n
    16. Abba B. Gumel, Enahoro A. Iboi, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, and Elamin H. Elbasha. A primer on using mathematics to understand COVID-19 dynamics: modeling, analysis, and simulations<\/a>. Infectious Disease Modeling<\/em> 6 148\u2013168 (2021).<\/li>\n
    17. Calistus N<\/span> Ngonghala<\/span><\/span><\/strong>, Enahoro<\/span> Iboi<\/span><\/span>, Steffen<\/span> Eikenberry<\/span><\/span>, Matthew<\/span> Scotch<\/span><\/span>, Chandini Raina<\/span> MacIntyre<\/span><\/span>, Matthew H<\/span> Bonds<\/span><\/span>, Abba B<\/span> Gumel. <\/span><\/span><\/span>Mathematical assessment of the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on curtailing the 2019 novel Coronavirus<\/a>.\u00a0Mathematical Biosciences <\/em>325 (108364) (2020)<\/li>\n
    18. Michelle V. Evans, Andres Garchitorena, Rado J. L. Rakotonanahary, John M. Drake, Benjamin Andriamihaja, Elinambinina Rajaonarifara, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Benjamin Roche, Matthew H. Bonds, Julio Rakotoni- rina. Reconciling model predictions with low reported cases of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa: Insights from Madagascar<\/a>. Global Health Action<\/em> 13 (1), 1816044 (2020).<\/li>\n
    19. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Enahoro A. Iboi, and Abba B. Gumel. Could masks curtail the post-lockdown resurgence of COVID-19 in the US<\/a>? Mathematical Biosciences<\/em> 329, 108452 (2020).<\/li>\n
    20. Enahoro A. Iboi, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, and Abba B. Gumel. Will an imperfect vaccine curtail the COVID- 19 pandemic in the U.S.<\/a>? Infectious Disease Modeling<\/em> 5, 510\u2013524 (2020).<\/li>\n
    21. Hemaho B. Taboe, Kolawole V. Salako, James M. Tison, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Romain Glele Kakai. Predicting COVID-19 spread in the face of control measures in West Africa<\/a>. Mathematical Biosciences<\/em> 328, 108431 (2020).<\/li>\n
    22. E. A. Iboi, O. O. Sharomi, C. N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, and A. B. Gumel. Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of COVID-19 pandemic in Nigeria<\/a>. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering<\/em> 17 (6), 7192\u20137220 (2020).<\/li>\n
    23. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Josephine Wairimu, Jesse Adamski, Hardik Desai. The impact of adaptive mosquito behavior and insecticide-treated nets on malaria prevalence<\/a>. Journal of Biological Systems<\/em> 28 (2) 515\u2013542 (2020).<\/li>\n
    24. Katia Vogt-Geisse, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, and Zhilan Feng. The impact of vaccination on malaria prevalence: a vaccine-age structured modeling approach<\/a>. Journal of Biological Systems<\/em> 28 (2) 475\u2013513 (2020).<\/li>\n
    25. Blanka Tesla, Leah R. Demakovsky, Erin A. Mordecai, Sadie J. Ryan, Matthew H. Bonds, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Melinda A. Brindley and Courtney C. Murdock.\u00a0Temperature drives Zika virus transmission: evidence from empirical and mathematical models<\/a>. <\/span>Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences<\/em> 285 (1884) (2018)<\/span><\/li>\n
    26. Calistus Ngonghala<\/strong>, Giulio De Leo, Mercedes Pascual, Andrew Dobson, Matthew H. Bonds. General ecological models of human subsistence, health and poverty<\/a>. Nature Ecology & Evolution<\/em> 1 1153\u20131159 (2017) \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Coverage<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0Nature Ecology & Evolution News and Views,<\/a>\u00a0Science\/AAAS<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n
    27. A Garchitorena, S H Sokolow, B Roche, C N Ngonghala<\/strong>, M Jocque, A Lund, M Barry, E A Mordecai, G C Daily, J H Jones, J R Andrews, E Bendavid, SP Luby, AD LaBeaud, K Seetah, J F Guegan, M H Bonds, G A De Leo. Disease ecology, health and the environment: a framework to account for ecological and socio-economic drivers in the control of neglected tropical diseases<\/a>\u00a0Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B <\/em>372 (1722), 20160128 (2017)<\/span><\/li>\n
    28. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Jemal Mohammed-Awel, Ruijun Zhao, Olivia Prosper. Interplay between insecticide-treated bed-nets and mosquito demography. Journal of Theoretical Biology<\/em><\/a>\u00a0397 179\u2013192 (2016)<\/span><\/li>\n
    29. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Gideon A. Ngwa, Miranda Teboh-Ewungkem. Observance of period-doubling bifurcation and chaos in an autonomous ODE model for malaria with vector demography<\/a>. Journal of Theoretical Ecology<\/em>\u00a09 337\u2013351 (2016)<\/span><\/li>\n
    30. Orou G. Gaoue, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Jiang Jiang, Maud Lelu. Towards a mechanistic understanding of the synergistic effects of harvesting on timber and non-timber forest products<\/a>.\u00a0Methods in Ecology and Evolution<\/em>\u00a07,\u00a0398\u2013406 (2016)<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n
    31. Andres Garchitorena, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Gaetan Texier, Jordi Landier, Sarah Eyangoh, Laurent Marsollier, Matthew H. Bonds, Jean-Franois Guegan, Benjamin Roche. Modeling environmental and water bug transmission dynamics of Mycobacterium ulcerans in Buruli ulcer endemic. Scientific Reports<\/em><\/a> 5, 18055 (2015)<\/span><\/li>\n
    32. Andres Garchitorena, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Jean-Francois Gue \u0301gan, Gaetan Texier, Martine Belanger, Benjamin Roche, Matthew Bonds. Economic inequality caused by feedbacks between poverty and the dynamics of a rare tropical disease: the case of Buruli ulcer in sub-Saharan Africa. Proceedings of Royal Society B: Biological Scieneces<\/em><\/a> 282 (1818), 20151426 (2015)<\/span><\/li>\n
    33. Cassidy L Rist, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Andres Garchitorena, Cara E. Brook, Ranto Ramananjato, Ann C. Miller, Milijaon Randrianarivelojosia, Patricia C. Wright, Thomas R. Gillespie, Matthew H. Bonds. Modeling the burden of poultry disease on the rural poor in Madagascar. One Health<\/em><\/a> 1, 60\u201365 (2015)<\/span><\/li>\n
    34. Cassidy L. Rist, Andres Garchitorena, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Thomas R. Gillespie, Matthew H. Bonds. The burden of livestock parasites on the poor<\/a>. Trends in Parasitology<\/em> 31 (11), 527\u2013530 (2015)<\/span><\/li>\n
    35. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Mateusz M. Plucinski, Megan B. Murray, Paul E. Farmer, Christopher B. Barrett, Donald C. Keenan, Matthew H. Bonds. Poverty, disease, and the ecology of complex systems. PLoS Biology<\/em><\/a> 12 (4), e100182 (2014)<\/span><\/li>\n
    36. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Sara Y. Del Valle, Ruijun Zhao, Jemal Mohammed-Awel. Quantifying the impact of decay in bed-net efficacy on malaria transmission. Journal of Theoretical Biology<\/em>.<\/a> 363, 247\u2013261 (2014)\u00a0pdf<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n
    37. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Gideon A. Ngwa, Miranda Teboh-Ewungkem. Persistent oscillations and backward bifurcation in a malaria model with varying human and mosquito populations: implications for control<\/a>. Journal of Mathematical Biology<\/em>, 70 (7), 1581\u20131622 (2014)<\/span><\/li>\n
    38. Gideon A. Ngwa, Terence T. Wankah, Mary Y. Fomboh-Nforba, Calsitus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Miranda I. Teboh- Ewungkem. On a reproductive stage-structured model for the population dynamics of the malaria vector<\/a>. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology<\/em>, 76 (10), 2476\u20132516 (2014)<\/span><\/li>\n
    39. Mitesh S Patel, Unnati Patel, Abhijit Sen, Gautam C Sethia, Chittaranjan Hens, Syamal Dana, Ulrike Feudel, Kenneth Showalter, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, and Ravindra E. Amritkar.\u00a0<\/span>Experimental observation of extreme multistability in coupled electronic oscillators Physical Review E<\/em><\/a>\u00a089, 022918 (2014)<\/span><\/li>\n
    40. Mateusz M. Plucin \u0301ski, Calistus N. Ngonghala,<\/strong> Wayne Getz, Matthew H. Bonds. Clusters of poverty and disease emerge in epidemiological networks with community structure. Journal of The Royal Society Interface<\/em><\/a> 10 (80), 20120656 (2013)<\/span><\/li>\n
    41. F. B. Agusto, S. Y. Del Valle, K. W. Blayneh, C. N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, M. J. Goncalves, N. Li, R. Zhao, H. Gong. The impact of bed-net use on malaria prevalence. Journal of Theoretical Biology<\/em><\/a> 320, 58-65 (2013).<\/span><\/li>\n
    42. Miranda Teboh-Ewungkem, Gideon A. Ngwa, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>. Models and proposals for malaria: a review<\/a>. Mathematical Population Studies<\/em> 20 (2), 57-81 (2013)<\/span><\/li>\n
    43. Gesham Magombedze, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Cristina Lanzas. Evaluation of the \u201cIceberg Phenomenon\u201d in Johne\u2019s Disease through Mathematical Modeling. PLoS One<\/em><\/a> 8 (10), e76636 (2013)<\/span><\/li>\n
    44. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Gideon A. Ngwa, Miranda Teboh-Ewungkem. Periodic oscillations and backward\u00a0bifurcation in a model for the dynamics of malaria transmission<\/a>. Mathematical Biosciences<\/em> 240, 45\u201362 (2012)<\/span><\/li>\n
    45. Calistus N Ngonghala. Mathematical modeling and analysis of epidemiological and chemical systems<\/a>. ProQuest, UMI Dissertation Publishing\u00a0(2012)<\/span><\/li>\n
    46. Mateusz Plucinski, Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Matthew H. Bonds. Health safety nets can break cycles of poverty and disease: a stochastic ecological model. Journal of The Royal Society Interface<\/em><\/a>\u00a08 (65), 1796\u20131803 (2011) (All authors contributed equally to this article.<\/em><\/strong>) Paper received press coverage from the Guardian, UK<\/a> and Eberly College of Arts and Sciences News and Fall 2011 Magazine, West Virginia University.<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n
    47. Calistus N. Ngonghala<\/strong>, Ulrike Feudel, Kenneth Showalter. Extreme multistability in a chemical model system. Physical Review E<\/em><\/a> 83 (5), 056206 (2011)<\/span><\/li>\n
    48. Gideon Ngwa, Ngonghala C. Ngeh<\/strong>, Sama Wilson Biginia. A model for endemic malaria with delay and variable populations<\/a>. Journal of the Cameroon Academy of Sciences<\/em> 1 (3), 127\u2013185 (2002)<\/span><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\r\n\t\t\t<\/div>\r\n\t\t<\/div>\r\n\t<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":628,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"featured_post":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"class_list":["post-19","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/19","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/628"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/19\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":716,"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/19\/revisions\/716"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/calistusnn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}