{"id":19,"date":"2012-09-05T11:22:25","date_gmt":"2012-09-05T15:22:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/template\/?page_id=19"},"modified":"2026-03-19T08:28:47","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T12:28:47","slug":"publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/people.clas.ufl.edu\/mjb01\/publications\/","title":{"rendered":"Publications at the Ecological Sciences Lab"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n
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Publications at the Ecological Sciences Lab<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Modelling the effect of annual plant growth on infectious disease spillover.<\/a><\/strong>
\nM.W. Simon, M. Barfield, N. Kortessis, S.L. Flory, K. Clay and R.D. Holt. 2025.
\nJournal of Ecology 113:1087\u20131102. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Partial clonality expands the opportunity for spatial adaptation<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nM.E. Orive, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2023.
\nThe American Naturalist 202: 681-698.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Growing pains and sick days: population-level consequences of the interaction between host stage structure and infectious disease.<\/strong><\/a>
\nM.W. Simon, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2022.
\nTheoretical Ecology 15: 285\u2013309.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Litter, plant competition, and ecosystem dynamics: A theoretical perspective.<\/strong><\/a>
\nN. Kortessis, M. Barfield, A.E. Kendig, M.W. Simon and R.D. Holt. 2022.
\nThe American Naturalist 200: 739-754.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The factors that favor adaptive habitat construction versus non-adaptive environmental conditioning.<\/strong><\/a>
\nS.M. Scheiner, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2022.
\nEcology and Evolution 12:e8763.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Temporal variation may have diverse impacts on range limits.<\/strong><\/a>
\nR.D. Holt, M. Barfield and J.H. Peniston. 2022.
\nPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 377: 20210016.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The effect of predator population dynamics on Batesian mimicry complexes.<\/strong><\/a>
\nD.W. Kikuchi, M. Barfield, M.E. Herberstein, J. Mappes and R.D. Holt. 2022.
\nThe American Naturalist 199: 406-419.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Do I build or do I move? Adaptation by habitat construction versus habitat choice.<\/strong><\/a>
\nS.M. Scheiner, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2022.
\nEvolution 76: 414-428.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Partitioning and drivers of aquatic insect beta diversity in mountain streams.<\/strong><\/a>
\nP.C. Bispo, C.C.Z. Branco, M.C. Novaes, L.S.M. Costa, E. Yokoyama, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2021.
\nFreshwater Science 40: 644-658.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Why aren\u2019t warning signals everywhere? On the prevalence of aposematism and mimicry.<\/strong><\/a>
\nD.W. Kikuchi, M.E. Herberstein, M. Barfield, R.D. Holt and J. Mappes. 2021.
\nBiological Reviews 96: 2446-2460.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Disturbance-induced emigration: an overlooked adaptation that reduces metapopulation extinction risks.<\/strong><\/a>
\nA. Mestre, M. Barfield, J.H. Peniston, P.R. Peres-Neto, F. Mesquita-Joanes and R.D. Holt. 2021.
\nEcology 102: e03423.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The evolution of habitat construction with and without phenotypic plasticity.<\/strong><\/a>
\nS.M. Scheiner, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2021.
\nEvolution 75: 1650\u20131664.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Environmental fluctuations dampen the effects of clonal reproduction on evolutionary rescue.<\/strong><\/a>
\nJ.H. Peniston, M. Barfield, R.D. Holt and M.E. Orive. 2021.
\nJournal of Evolutionary Biology 34: 710-722.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Revisiting the role of hyperparasitism in the evolution of virulence.<\/strong><\/a>
\nS.K. Sandhu, A. Yu. Morozov, R.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2021.
\nThe American Naturalist 197: 216-235.
\nSupplementary information.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The interplay of movement and spatiotemporal variation in transmission degrades pandemic control.<\/strong><\/a>
\nN. Kortessis, M.W. Simon, M. Barfield, G.E. Glass, B.H. Singer and R.D. Holt. 2020.
\nProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 117: 30104-30106.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Environmental fluctuations can promote evolutionary rescue in high-extinction-risk scenarios.<\/a><\/strong>
\nJ.H. Peniston, M. Barfield, A. Gonzalez and R.D. Holt. 2020.
\nProceedings of the Royal Society B 287: 20201144.
\nSupplementary information.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Partitioning multiple dimensions of beta diversity in a tropical stream macroalgal metacommunity.<\/strong><\/a>
\nC.C.Z. Branco, P.C. Bispo, C.K. Peres, A.F. Tonetto, R.A. Krupek, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2020.
\nJournal of Biogeography 47: 1765\u20131780.
\nSupplementary information.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The genetics of phenotypic plasticity. XVII. Response to climate change.<\/strong><\/a>
\nS.M. Scheiner, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2020.
\nEvolutionary Applications 13: 388-399.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The interplay of nested biotic interactions and the abiotic environment regulates populations of a hypersymbiont.<\/strong><\/a>
\nA. Mestre, R. Poulin, R.D. Holt, M. Barfield, J.C. Clamp, G. Fernandez-Leborans and F. Mesquita-Joanes. 2019.
\nJournal of Animal Ecology 88:1998-2010.
\nSupplementary information<\/strong>.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Evolutionary rescue in a linearly changing environment: Limits on predictability.<\/strong>
\nM.E. Orive, R.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2019.
\nBulletin of Mathematical Biology.<\/em> 81: 4821\u20134839.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Reply to Cannon and Lerdau: Maintenance of tropical forest tree diversity.<\/a><\/strong>
\nT. Levi, M. Barfield, R.D. Holt and J. Terborgh 2019b.
\nProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 116: 8106.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Pulsed immigration events can facilitate adaptation to harsh sink environments.<\/strong><\/a>
\nJ.H. Peniston, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2019.
\nThe American Naturalist 194: 316-333.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Towards a unified framework for connectivity that disentangles movement and mortality in space and time.<\/a><\/strong>
\nR.J. Fletcher, Jr., J.A. Sefair, C. Wang, C.L. Poli, T.A.H. Smith, E.M. Bruna, R.D. Holt, M. Barfield, A.J. Marx and M.A. Acevedo. 2019.
\nEcology Letters 22: 1680-1689.
\nSupplementary Information.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Tropical forests can maintain hyperdiversity because of enemies.<\/strong><\/a>
\nT. Levi, M. Barfield, S. Barrantes, C. Sullivan, R.D. Holt and J. Terborgh. 2019a.
\nProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 116: 581-586.
\nSupplementary Information.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Backward bifurcation and oscillations in a nested immuno-eco-epidemiological model.<\/a><\/strong>
\nM. Barfield, M. Martcheva, N. Tuncer and R.D. Holt. 2018.
\nJournal of Biological Dynamics 12: 51-88.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The genetics of phenotypic plasticity. XV. Genetic assimilation, the Baldwin effect, and evolutionary rescue.<\/strong><\/a>
\nS.M. Scheiner, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2017.
\nEcology and Evolution 7: 8788-8803.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Effects of clonal reproduction on evolutionary lag and evolutionary rescue.<\/strong><\/a>
\nM.E. Orive, M. Barfield, C. Fernandez and R.D. Holt. 2017.
\nThe American Naturalist<\/a> 190: 469\u2013490.
\nSupplementary Information.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Evolutionary rescue in novel environments: Towards improving predictability.<\/strong><\/a>
\nM. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2016.
\nEvolutionary Ecology Research 17: 771-786.
\n<\/em>
\nQuantifying dilution and amplification in a community of hosts for tick-borne pathogens.<\/a><\/strong>
\nT. Levi, F. Keesing, R.D. Holt, M. Barfield and R.S. Ostfeld. 2016.
\nEcological Applications 26: 484\u2013498.
\n<\/em>Supplementary Information.<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/em>
\nDynamics of low and high pathogenic avian influenza in wild and domestic bird populations.<\/a><\/strong>
\nN. Tuncer, J. Torres, M. Martcheva, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2016.
\nJournal of Biological Dynamics 10: 104-139.
\n<\/em>
\nThe role of pathogen shedding in linking within- and between-host pathogen dynamics.<\/strong>
\nM. Barfield,\u00a0 M.E. Orive and R.D. Holt. 2015.
\nMathematical Biosciences 270, Part B: 249\u2013262.
\n<\/em>
\nThe influence of imperfect matching habitat choice on evolution in source-sink environments.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2015.
\nEvolutionary Ecology 29: 887-904.
\n<\/em>
\nThreshold levels of generalist predation determine consumer response to resource pulses.<\/strong>
\nT. Levi, A.M. Kilpatrick, M. Barfield, R.D. Holt, M. Mangel and C.C. Wilmers. 2015.
\nOikos 124: 1436-1443.
\n<\/em>
\nResources, mortality, and disease ecology: Importance of positive feedbacks between host growth rate and pathogen dynamics.<\/strong>
\nV.H. Smith, R.D. Holt, M.S. Smith, Y. Niu and M. Barfield. 2015.
\nIsrael Journal of Ecology and Evolution 61: 37-49.
\n<\/em>
\nOvercoming Allee effects through evolutionary, genetic, and demographic rescue.<\/a><\/strong>
\nA.R. Kanarek, C.T. Webb, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2015.
\nJournal of Biological Dynamics 9: 15-33.
\n<\/em>
\nLimits on ecosystem trophic complexity: insights from ecological network analysis<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.E. Ulanowicz, R.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2014.
\nEcology Letters 17: 127\u2013136.
\n<\/em>
\nDirect plant-predator interactions as determinants of food chain dynamics.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2013.
\nJournal of Theoretical Biology 339: 47\u201357.
\n<\/em>
\nUnstable predator-prey dynamics permits the coexistence of generalist and specialist predators, and the maintenance of partial preferences.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt, E. Taylor, M. Roy and M. Barfield. 2013.
\nIsrael Journal of Ecology and Evolution 59: 27\u201336.
\n<\/em>
\nAllee effects, aggregation, and invasion success.<\/strong>
\nA.R. Kanarek, C.T. Webb, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2013.
\nTheoretical Ecology 6: 153-164.
\n<\/em>
\nTrait-mediated effects, density dependence, and the dynamic stability of ecological systems.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2012.
\nIn\u00a0T. Ohgushi, O. Schmitz and R.D. Holt, eds. Trait-Mediated Indirect Interactions: Ecological and Evolutionary Perspectives. Cambridge University Press.
\n<\/em>
\nThe genetics of phenotypic plasticity. XI. Joint evolution of plasticity and dispersal rate<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nS.M. Scheiner, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2012.
\nEcology and Evolution 2: 2027-2039.
\n<\/em>Supplementary information<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The prevalence and persistence of sigma virus, a biparentally transmitted parasite of\u00a0Drosophila melanogaster<\/em><\/a>.<\/strong>
\nM.L. Wayne, G.M. Blohm, M.E. Brooks, K.L. Regan, B.Y. Brown, M. Barfield, R.D. Holt and B.M. Bolker. 2011.
\nEvolutionary Ecology Research 13: 323-345.
\n<\/em>
\nPredation and the evolutionary dynamics of species ranges<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt, M. Barfield, I. Filin and S. Forde. 2011.
\nThe American Naturalist<\/a> 178: 488-500.
\nSupplementary information<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/em>
\nTheoretical perspectives on the statics and dynamics of species\u2019 borders in patchy environments<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield.\u00a02011.
\nThe American Naturalist<\/a> 178: S6-S25.
\n<\/em>
\nEvolution in stage-structured populations<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nM. Barfield, R.D. Holt and\u00a0R. Gomulkiewicz. 2011.
\nThe American Naturalist 177: 397-409.
\nAppendices<\/a>\u00a0Correction 1<\/a>\u00a0Correction 2<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/em>
\nGenetics, adaptation, and invasion in harsh environments.<\/strong>
\nR. Gomulkiewicz, R.D. Holt, M. Barfield and S.L. Nuismer. 2010.
\nEvolutionary Applications 3: 97-108.
\n<\/em>
\nMetapopulation perspectives on the evolution of species\u2019 niches<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2009b.
\nIn\u00a0S. Cantrell, C.Cosner and S. Ruan, eds. Spatial Ecology. CRC Press.
\n<\/em>
\nTrophic interactions and range limits: the diverse roles of predation<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2009a.
\nProceedings of the Royal Society B\u00a0276: 1435-1442.
\n<\/em>
\nPredator shadows: complex life histories as generators of spatially patterned indirect interactions across ecosystems<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nM.W. McCoy, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2009.
\nOikos 118: 87-100.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Habitat selection and niche conservatism<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2008.
\nIsrael Journal of Ecology and Evolution 54: 295-309.
\n<\/em>
\nEvolutionary dynamics as a component of stage-structured matrix models: An example using\u00a0Trillium grandiflorum<\/i><\/a>.<\/i><\/strong>
\nT.M. Knight, M. Barfield and R.D. Holt. 2008.
\nThe American Naturalist<\/a> 172: 375-392.
\n<\/em>
\nThe relation of density regulation to habitat specialization, evolution of a species’ range, and the dynamics of biological invasions<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nI. Filin, R.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2008.
\nThe American Naturalist<\/a> 172: 233-247.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Within-host pathogen dynamics: Some ecological and evolutionary consequences of transients, dispersal mode, and within-host spatial heterogeneity<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2006.
\nIn<\/i>\u00a0Z. Feng, U. Dieckmann and S. Levin, eds. Disease Evolution: Models, Concepts, and Data Analyses. American Mathematical Society.
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Temporal autocorrelation can enhance the persistence and abundance of metapopulations comprised of coupled sinks<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nM. Roy, R.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2005.
\nThe American Naturalist<\/a> 166: 246-261.
\nAppendix<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Theories of niche conservatism and evolution: Could exotic species be potential tests?<\/a><\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt, M. Barfield and R. Gomulkiewicz. 2005.
\nIn<\/i>\u00a0D.F. Sax, S.D. Gaines and J.J. Stachowicz, eds. Species Invasions: Insights to ecology, evolution and biogeography.\u00a0 Sinauer Associates, Sunderland.
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Long-term response and recovery of a partitioned arctic lake to nutrient addition.<\/strong>
\nW.J. O\u2019Brien, M. Barfield, N. Bettez, A.E. Hershey, J.E. Hobbie, G. Kipphut, G. Kling and M.C. Miller. 2005.
\nFreshwater Biology 50: 731-741.
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Viral infection in internally structured hosts. I. Conditions for persistent infection<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nM.E. Orive, M.N. Stearns, J.K. Kelly, M. Barfield, M.S. Smith and R.D. Holt. 2005.
\nJournal of Theoretical Biology 232: 453-466.
\nAppendices<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Temporal variation can facilitate niche evolution in harsh sink environments<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt, M. Barfield and R. Gomulkiewicz. 2004b.
\nThe American Naturalist<\/a> 164: 187-200.
\n<\/i>Appendix<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Physical, chemical, and biotic impacts on arctic zooplankton communities and diversity.<\/strong>
\nW.J. O’Brien, M. Barfield, N.D. Bettez, G.M. Gettel, A.E. Hershey, M.E. McDonald, M.C. Miller, H. Mooers, J. Pastor, C. Richards and J. Schuldt. 2004.
\nLimnology and Oceanography 49: 1250-1261.
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Allee effects, immigration, and the evolution of species\u2019 niches<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt, T.M. Knight and M. Barfield. 2004a.
\nThe American Naturalist 163: 253-262.
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Impacts of environmental variability in open populations and communities: \u201cInflation\u201d in sink environments<\/a>.
\n<\/strong>R.D. Holt, M. Barfield and A. Gonzalez. 2003.
\nTheoretical Population Biology 64: 315-330.
\n<\/em>
\nImpacts of temporal variation\u00a0on apparent competition and coexistence in open ecosystems<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2003.
\nOikos 101: 49-58.
\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

The phenomenology of niche evolution via quantitative traits in a ‘black-hole’ sink<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt, R. Gomulkiewicz and M. Barfield. 2003.
\nProceedings of the Royal Society of London B. 270: 215-224.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Prior Biology Publications<\/h2>\n

The functional response of drift-feeding arctic grayling: The effects of prey density, water velocity and location efficiency<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nW.J. O’Brien, M. Barfield and K. Sigler. 2001.
\nCanadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58: 1957-1963.
\n<\/em><\/p>

On the relationship between the ideal free distribution and the evolution of dispersal<\/a>.
\n<\/strong>R.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 2001.
\nIn<\/i>\u00a0J. Clobert, E. Danchin, A.A. Dhondt and J.D. Nichols, eds. Dispersal. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
\n<\/em><\/p>

The effects of density dependence and immigration on local adaptation and niche evolution in a black-hole sink environment<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR. Gomulkiewicz, R.D. Holt and M. Barfield. 1999.
\nTheoretical Population Biology 55: 283-296.
\n<\/em><\/p>

Population dynamics and the evolutionary stability of biological control<\/a>.<\/strong>
\nR.D. Holt, M.E. Hochberg and M. Barfield. 1999.
\nIn<\/i>\u00a0B. Hawkins and H. Cornell, eds. Theoretical Approaches to Biological Control. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.<\/p><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

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