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Research

My work concerns itself with the creation of a more just and humane society, focusing upon the role of average citizens in that process.  My research is on democracy and democratization, with emphases upon popular politics and social movements, elections and electoral studies, social capital and citizen empowerment and upon institutions.  With respect to geographic area, I do fieldwork in Latin America while my research is informed by the study of Western Europe and the United States.

I first became interested in the study of comparative politics while still an undergraduate student at Bowdoin College.  I had decided to write an Honors Thesis in my major field of Government.  I was spending my junior year at the University of Stockholm where I studied Swedish as well as my regular courses.  During that year I became interested in the fact that in the 1950s Sweden had become the third nation able to produce an atomic bomb, following the United States and Britain.  However, after considerable domestic debate that included extensive popular protests and newspaper editorials, as well as debate in the legislature, Sweden decided NOT to produce the bomb.  While proponents of “the bomb” had arguments familiar to me, those I had heard in the United States, opponents of Swedish nuclear weapons capacity argued that it would make Sweden more vulnerable rather than less and that the money was better spent on state welfare services.  This entire story, as well as the final decision, fascinated me.  By January of my junior year I was proficient enough in Swedish to conduct interviews and read primary sources.  I spent my second semester in Sweden researching the issue.  This included extensive interviews in Swedish with popular leaders, newspaper editors, and former legislators.  I loved this research and became passionate about the thesis itself.  I also became deeply interested in issues of social justice and popular involvement in politics.  I had become a comparativist before ever reaching graduate school.

My first book, The Political Ecology of the Modern Peasant, (Johns Hopkins, 1994) was on popular mobilization in the effort to create a more just and humane society, looking specifically at Costa Rica and Nicaragua and studying political mobilization among peasants. The forms of mobilized politics I studied included peasant involvement in revolution and non-violent reformist political action. Political Ecology challenged the dispute that had long predominated in the subfield of peasant studies.  It showed that there was no need to debate whether peasant political action was value-driven (Scott, Moral Economy, 1976) or explained by rational choice (Popkin, Rational Peasant, 1979) by arguing that popular political action is motivated by both.  The resulting political ecology theory of protest action combines moral and self-serving motives, placing both within a broader social and environmental context. The Political Ecology  theory argues that peasants blend individual self-interest with concerns about community in a manner that makes the two forms of motivation reinforce each other. Being a responsible member of a community is also in an individual’s self-interest. The theory in this book has implications far beyond Central America and far beyond peasant politics. It provides broad outlines about how popular mobilization can help create a better and more fair human society. The book won the American Political Science Association Transformational Politics Section Best Book Award for a book that points toward ways that we can transform our society and also won an Outstanding Book Award from Choice magazine.  Political Ecology was republished in September, 2022 and is now available for free in digital format at https://muse.jhu.edu/book/102642. The book is also available for purchase in hard copy.

As Latin America democratized, I  began to study citizen involvement in politics through democratic procedures and institutions. Again, the focus has been upon popular politics and popular perceptions and upon how citizens can empower themselves through political action. My second book, co-authored with Lawrence C. Dodd, is Learning Democracy: Citizen Engagement and Electoral Choice in Nicaragua, 1990-2001, (University of Chicago Press, 2005) speaks both to the field of comparative politics and to the field of American politics and shows how citizens can use reasoned vote choice to end war, change their government, and begin a transition toward capitalism and liberal democracy.

Learning Democracy offers to American politics an application of two theories of citizen vote choice, Morris Fiorina’s theory of retrospective voting and Sniderman, Brody, and Tetlock’s theory of prospective voting. Learning Democracy combines these theories to show how the citizens of Nicaragua engaged in thoughtful, reflective vote choice across three elections in 1990, 1996, and 2001. Citizens used retrospective and prospective thinking to accomplish an electoral revolution and a regime change from socialism and a command economy to liberal democracy and a capitalist economy. Learning Democracy stands traditional American voting theories upside down.  We show that, in Nicaragua’s 1990 election, the poor and less educated used a more-complex prospective reasoning process more than did educated voters. Educated voters relied primarily upon retrospective reasoning, which is intellectually simpler.  American voting theories argue precisely the opposite and even suggest that the less educated cannot use prospective reasoning.

To the field of comparative politics Learning Democracy illustrates the limitations of previous theories of democratization and shows how these theories have created expectations that are too confined to include or even imagine the democratization process in Nicaragua. Learning Democracy proposes a new theory of democratization that centralizes the role of citizen choice and the capacities of average citizens to engage in reflective thinking processes that resemble the processes of vote choice made by citizens in older and more established democracies.  Learning Democracy also challenged comparative theories about democratization by showing that social capital can develop quickly in a post-revolutionary setting, that elite pacting is unnecessary for democratization, that a socialist revolution can be conducive to democratization under certain conditions and that affluence is not necessarily a precondition for democracy.

Learning Democracy went into a second printing in its first year and has now sold over 1700 copies.  It was a semi-finalist for the Grawmeyer Award in 2006.  It is used today in doctoral seminars in comparative politics and American politics in universities nationwide and we continue to get feedback from professors who are assigning it in their classes.  The University of Florida recognized Learning Democracy and my other scholarly achievements by choosing me to be a University of Florida Research Foundation Professor in 2006.

My third book, Social Capital in Developing Democracies:  Nicaragua and Argentina Compared,  (Cambridge University Press, 2010) continued my focus upon popular politics and upon the relationship between popular politics and democratization.   Social Capital contrasted a revolutionary with a semi-fascist appeal to the poor and illustrated how those alternative appeals produced different value systems among the population and different kinds of social capital.  The contrast allows us to examine two different kinds of mass movements, each of which has become an electoral party today.  Sandinismo created horizontal ties and bridging social capital which enhances democratization in Nicaragua while Peronism created vertical ties and bonding social capital, undermining Argentina’s democratic development.  Social Capital illustrated first, that bridging and democratic social capital (in Nicaragua) could develop in an accelerated manner and need not await generations of time and, second, that social capital could be quite anti-democratic and problematic for democracy (in Argentina) and therefore not necessarily a component of democracy.  These conclusions challenge the predominant arguments in political science about the development and role of social capital in democracy.

Social Capital ends by raising the question of how a nation lacking in democratic social capital can even democratize at all if social capital is so essential to democratization.  The fact of Argentina’s democratization required explanation.  In response I initiated the argument that nations low in social capital could democratize upon the basis of their formal institutions of state and that institutions could comprise an alternative resource for democratization.  In support of that argument, in one chapter of Social Capital I demonstrated that Argentina’s institutions are indeed stronger than Nicaragua’s institutions. There was a symposium on Social Capital about the impact of the work five years after its publication.  That symposium was organized for the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association in San Juan, Puerto Rico in January, 2016.  Scholars came from Argentina and the United States to discuss the book and its impact so far.

My newest book, Democratization by Institutions:  Argentina’s Transition Years in Comparative Perspective elaborates upon the argument introduced in Social Capital that nations can democratize upon the basis of institutions. Democratization by Institutions shows that Argentina’s democratization process has been led by its formal institutions of state, specifically the presidency and the legislature.  The judiciary has also played a crucial role in some moments of democratic transition.  The study shows that this type of democratization is highly effective in the face of military hostility and destructive citizen protest.  But institutionally-driven democratization also poses the danger of an overly powerful presidency and raises questions about the capacity of the other institutions of state to check presidential power in a new democracy, especially in times of crisis.  Democratization by Institutions explores this issue through the lens of American political development.  I ask whether and how the American constitutional system, used to democratize the United States, can travel abroad and become an equally effective blueprint for democratization in a new, formerly-authoritarian setting such as Argentina.  I suggest that the American constitutional system can travel but I also raise several caveats for making that possible.  There was a symposium on Democratization by Institutions at the annual meeting of the Latin American Studies Association in New York City in May, 2016.  Scholars came from Europe, Latin America and the United States to consider the argument of this  book.

Democratization by Institutions defines a new field of study.  By showing that institutions can democratize a nation where social capital is low, it points toward the need to study institutions not only as functional parts within democracy but as the driving force toward democracy.  Scholars of democracy can use this book as a model of how to study institutionally-driven democratization in settings where social capital is not the basis, or not the only basis, for democratization.

Taken together, Social Capital and Democratization by Institutions redefine the field of democratization studies, suggesting two alternative routes toward democracy, through social capital or through institutions.  The conversation generated across these two books could recalibrate our thinking about social capital by addressing the limits of that approach and suggesting that institutions can be another route out of authoritarianism.

Current Research

I am currently working on several projects.

1. Tentatively entitled Democratic Deepening and Decline, this work constitutes the second phase of my work with Lawrence Dodd and now includes a new co-author, Won-ho Park from Seoul National University in South Korea. This new project has benefitted from a new grant from the National Science Foundation to study the 2006 election in Nicaragua and from University of Florida funds used to conduct the first-ever experimental research in Nicaragua. This project looks at local level politics, capturing political and electoral dynamics at the level of municipalities, in the context of declining democracy at the national level.  Part of the national democratic decline is owing to the behavior of current president, Daniel Ortega but part of the decline owes as well to a lack of electoral competitiveness on the part of the right.  Our experimental research aims at uncovering a potentially viable electoral platform for the right in Nicaragua.  This work is now a book under review.

2. The 2026 Greeley Meatpackers Strike: A Study in Success. In March 2026 the workers at the meatpackers plant in Greeley, Colorado launched the first strike at a meatpacking plant in 41 years. Despite a history of dismal failure for meatpackers and a very unsupportive national environment, the Greeley strike was a stunning success. Why? This question has sparked a return to my interest in labor politics (last visible in my 1994 book). I have launched a study to try to answer this question. The study has been approved by the UF Institutional Review board and interviews began in July, 2026.

3. Memory and Denial: The Politics of Human Rights in Argentina and Spain. This project is a contrast between these two nations which have exhibited dramatically different policies on human rights. Argentina launched serious investigation into its human rights violations immediately after returning to democracy in December, 1983. My 2016 book explores that policy in detail. By contrast, Spain did nothing to address the human rights violations of the Franco era, instead launching a Pact of Forgetting (by which the parties agreed to NOT discuss Franco’s violations) and by passing an Amnesty Law designed to cover all those who violated human rights in Spain under Franco. What difference do these two approaches make for the quality of democracy today? This question undergirds this research.

Recent events in Spain have pushed this project to the top of my agenda . Despite Spain’s effort to deny its past, pressures toward accountability have built. In 2007 Spain passed a Law of Historical Memory which provided official recognition to the victims of both sides in the so-called Civil War and mandated the removal of Francoist symbols of fascism from public buildings. The 2007 law supported the search for unmarked mass graves where Franco’s victims were buried.  More recently Spain has gone even further. The Democratic Memory Law of 2022 criminalizes the glorification of the Franco regime and outlaws specific foundations that glorified Franco.  Forty-seven years behind Argentina, the Democratic Memory Law calls for and funds investigations into human rights abuses and the exhumation of bodies from mass graves.  The Democratic Memory Law carried a three-year sunset clause which meant that new investigations could not be opened after October, 2025. Now we get to watch and see what Spain does with the investigations that were opened between October, 2022 and October 2025. Most recently, in April, 2026 Spain established a Truth Commission and promised before the United Nations a full investigation of human rights abuses under Franco. These developments have lent urgency to this project.

4. A fourth project is at the data analysis stage.  It is a study of federalism, comparing different regions in Argentina with the United States South and West.  This new project focuses on the coming of the rule of law in far-flung territories of federal systems.  In Argentina and the United States South it focuses upon situations where human rights were violated at the provincial or state level while the national government stepped in to enforce the law.  In the United States West, by contrast, violence was also a problem but regional authorities sought and encouraged federal involvement in bringing about law and order.

Research Fellowships and Grants

  1. National Endowment for the Humanities Fellowship, A/Y 2017-18
  2. Humanities Award, University of Florida, to begin research in Argentina on subnational democratization, 2017
  3. Humanities Award, University of Florida, to do research in Nicaragua, 2013
  4. Fulbright Fellowship, Argentina, 2008
  5. National Science Foundation Grant, 2006, awarded to Leslie Anderson and Lawrence Dodd to study the 2006 Nicaraguan election
  6. Brown University, Howard Foundation Fellowship, 1997-98
  7. National Science Foundation Grant, 1996, individual award to study 1996 Nicaragua election
  8. Fulbright Fellowship, Argentina, 1993
  9. Council of Creative Writing Research Grant, University of Colorado, for conference on “Dimensions of Peasant Power,” University of Colorado, 1992
  10. Kellogg Institute, University of Notre Dame, Faculty Fellowship, Spring, 1990
  11. Cornell University, Visiting Fellowship, Fall, 1990.
  12. Fulbright Fellowship, Costa Rica, 1985

Scholarly Awards

  1. University of Florida Doctoral Dissertation Advisor/Mentoring Award, 2014 (University-wide competition)
  2. University of Florida Research Foundation Professorship, 2006
  3. Teaching Award, Best Professor Selection, International Affairs Club, University of Colorado, 1995
  4. Best Book Award, American Political Science Association, Transformational Politics Section, 1995
  5. Outstanding Book Award, Choice academic magazine, 1995
  6. Social Science Writing Award (awarded twice) 1991, 1992

Invited Lectures

  1. Keynote Address, Argentina Political Science Association, “Institutions and Civil Society:  Resources for Democratization and Democratic Survival in a Hostile World,” November 27, 2024.
  2. Invited commentary, book launch, Mateo Jarquin, The Sandinista Revolution, University of North Carolina Press, 2024, at the Center for Latin American Studies, UF, April 5, 2024
  3. Plenary Session Panelist and Discussant, Day of the Political Scientist and Memorial Conference for Guillermo O’Donnell, November 29, 2023
  4. Paths Toward Democracy:  Institutions and Social Capital,” paper invited for the Conference on the Third Wave of Democracy in Latin America, Di Tella University, Buenos Aires, November 27-28, 2023
  5. Invited commentary on The Paradox of Violence, edited by David Smilde, Veronica Zubillaga and Rebecca Hanson, Center for Latin American Studies, University of Florida, October 26, 2023.
  6. Democratic Decline in Nicaragua,” invited talk, University of Madrid and St Lawrence University in Madrid, March 13, 2020.  This talk was cancelled owing to coronavirus outbreak.
  7. Ted-format talk:  “Democratic Decline in Latin America, Europe and the United States,” Bowdoin College, June 3, 2019
  8. Latin American Studies Association, Chicago, May, 2014, Round Table on “Pluralism, Religion and Democracy:  The Work of Daniel H. Levine” May, 2014
  9. University of Florida, Graduate Student Council, on Social Capital in Developing Democracies, February, 2013
  10. University of Texas, Austin, Department of Political Science, on Social Capital in Developing Democracies, January, 2013
  11. Bowdoin College, “A Tempest in a Teapot: The 2008 Nicaraguan Municipal Elections,” May, 2009
  12. University of La Matanza, Argentina, “Nicaragua’s International Profile,” March, 2008
  13. University of Notre Dame, Kellogg Institute, on Learning Democracy, February, 2002
  14. University of Michigan, Department of Political Science, on Learning Democracy, February, 2002
  15. Yale University, Center for Agrarian Studies, on Learning Democracy, October, 2000
  16. University of Washington, Department of Political Science, on Learning Democracy, October, 2001
  17. University of Minnesota, on The Political Ecology of the Modern Peasant, March, 1990
  18. Cornell University, Center for International Studies, on The Political Ecology of the Modern Peasant, February, 1990
  19. Cornell University, Department of Rural Sociology, on Methods and Methodology in Rural Fieldwork, September, 1990